Personal Log  #1212

April 19, 2023  -  April 22, 2023

Last Updated:  Thurs. 9/07/2023

    page #1211         page #1213         BOOK         INDEX         go to bottom     

 

4-22-2023

Accountability.  It's never good enough when judging Toyota: "My point is they need to actually get serious, not pretend that a 33% EV mix in 2030 is getting serious."  Yet, there's nothing to measure seriousness of others beyond just saying they are going 100%.  How many times have we been burned by empty promises of the past?  So, I had to ask:  Other legacy automakers pretending to go "all in" is what?  It only takes a few moments of critical thinking to see that their supposed 100% pledge is without milestones or penalty.  They make a good effort with a handful of vehicles and are given a free pass to continue with the rest of their production as status quo.  It's quite remarkable how those focusing on Toyota continue to overlook such an obvious absence of accountability.

4-22-2023 Earth Day.  I finally started capturing some stats.  We got a mix of rain & snow today.  There was a variety of driving, a mix of highway & suburb with long & short trips.  I was curious about the numbers reported.  Here's what I got:

 - 50.6 miles from dashboard
 - 2.8 mi/kWh from dashboard
 - 17.982 kWh from Toyota app
 - 18.84 kWh from EVSE (JuiceBox) app

Clearly, the Toyota app is recognizing charging losses (about 5%) and efficiency displayed reflects vehicle consumption.

4-21-2023 Next-Gen Niro.  We got specifications on the upcoming revision to Kia's BEV.  This was the response: "When the Blazer and Equinox EVs hit the street later this year, both the Kia Niro and Hyundai Kona EVs will simply no longer be viable models."  Sound familiar?  We have that old "vastly superior" attitude stirring again.  That's really unfortunate.  In fact, it is how America slipped away from the leadership position.  Obsession with more is how Tesla thrived, riding on a wave of investor funding that is now going elsewhere.  Priorities are shifting from pushing extremes to seeking a balance for the masses.  That's exactly what Kia (and Hyundai) are working toward.  The details we got today overwhelmingly confirm that:

 - 64.8 kWh battery capacity
 - 85 kW peak charging
 - 253 miles range
 - 126 City / 101 Highway / 113 Combined MPGe

None of those specs stand out.  That's a good thing.  When targeting mainstream consumers, delivering more means paying a premium price.  When the goal is to deliver something affordable, competitive and profitable, focus must be on finding a middle offering.  A nice mix of traits is vital.  That means aspects of EV are not top priority.  Some of the delay coming from GM may actually be a hint of that being taken seriously.  It's very important.  Enthusiasts don't want to hear that though.  So, I focus on facts they don't want to hear instead... somewhat tangible evidence of things not quite going as they hope.  In this case, it was a dose of reality to help tame their taunts on the Kia discussion:  Equinox EV was promised for "spring 2023" on the television commercial last aired countless times back in November.  The timeline now is "spring 2024" for the 3LT model.  So don't realistically expect any lower-priced models to follow until well after that.  The SS model of Blazer is expected for this fall.  But since it is a higher class of vehicle than Equinox, don't expect it to ever be in the same category as Niro/Kona.

4-21-2023 Same Reliability.  This came about from comments on that same article highlighting Toyota's 3-step plan: "I'm interested to see if Toyota can maintain the same reliability with EVs as their reliability with ICE is quite unmatched."  That was a great opportunity to climb up on the soapbox.  Singing praise for having such an amazingly positive experience with Prius Prime is a welcome call for me.  Bring it on!  Here's what I had to say in this case:

6 years of flawless electric-only operation from Prius Prime is that hidden treasure most completely overlook.  Think about it.  The system has been delivering to-the-floor acceleration with speeds up to 135 km/h (84 mph) using nothing but electricity without ever a hiccup... despite relying entirely upon active-air cooling.

All around the world, that silent victory (pun intended) has been fortifying Toyota reliability.  In fact, outcome from Prius Prime (built upon the original PHEV delivered in 2012) was so overwhelmingly successful, it spawned off the very popular RAV4 Prime and now has 3 other variants on the horizon (Crown, CH-R, Harrier/Venza).  The next-gen Prius Prime is about to be rolled out too, offering much greater electric-only range & power.

That subtle reputation build-up scares the crap out of other legacy automakers, leaving each in a scramble to figure out how to address the giant juggernaut about to awake.

4-21-2023 Transition Plans.  Twisting Toyota's past to make it seem their long-term goals were always anti-EV, that their apparent slower pace is really resistance, is today's message from antagonists.  Ugh.  That came about from the CEO spelling out Toyota's 3-step plan to EV profitability.  Upset from those already feeling pressure from BEV challenges were obviously not happy.  That topic is toxic.  They avoid it at all cost... hence their endless effort to mislead.  I pointed that out with:

It has been interesting to watch the narratives evolve, especially from those supporting the "all in" automakers.  Lessons learned from "over promise, under deliver" have been completely disregarded.  All you have to do is make a commitment without milestones or penalty.  Ugh.

Toyota doesn't treat its customers & supporters that way.  They are presenting a transition plan.  Their hybrids are now more profitable than their ICE-only vehicles.  Leveraging that to fund first-gen BEV rollout while developing second-gen is a solid path forward which reduces emissions & consumption at the same time.

Notice how everyone is turning a blind-eye to the rest of legacy automaker production plans, focusing entirely on just BEV instead?  They are giving a free pass to ICE-only sales as long as they have made a vague "all in" pledge.

Turning the spotlight onto Toyota is exactly what they want.  It takes attention off of them.  You are playing into their subterfuge to distract from their absence of a transition plan.

4-21-2023

How Far?  Remember how I responded with that question a week ago, asking "180 miles assumes you are only getting 2.8 mi/kWh. Are you?"  He finally got back to me this morning.  Knowing how some people take things literally and don't actually bother with their own research, I was quite curious if he would strive to increase own knowledge by giving the math a try.  Apparently, he did not: "I'm getting 3.5 mi/kWh on Eco mode with no air con. But the battery always stops charging (100%) at 180 miles."  Only seeing that 180 miles has him stuck, confused, irritated, disappointed...  So, my follow up was asking a new question:  That distance value is just an estimate.  Do the calculation yourself.  If your drive uses 20% of the battery, how far did you go?  20% of 64 kWh at 3.5 mi/kWh is about 45 miles.  20% of 180 miles is 36 miles.  Multiple that value 5 times to find your 100% distance.  What is it?

4-20-2023

Letting Go.  She won a 2008 Prius long ago.  Though technically free, you still have to pay taxes for it.  Nonetheless, she was hooked from day one.  Today, she asked the rest of us what it is like for us when letting go of that old friend.  Regardless of what follows, the next steps isn't without mixed feelings.  I shared mine:  Prius ownership just recently came to an end for me... 2001 Prius... 2004 Prius... 2010 Prius... 2012 Prius PHV... 2017 Prius Prime... 2023 bZ4X.  Each was among first deliveries that generation.  bZ4X is very much in the spirit of those Prius, each breaking ground into new territory.  The newest Prius strives to appeal to difficult to reach consumers and current owners looking for more range & power.  My wife will likely hold on to here Prius Prime for a number of years to come, waiting for a long-range all-electric sedan.  As for letting go, that was easy.  My niece, who planning to buy it from me anyway, suddenly found her Camry with 280,000 miles undriveable.  With only a month prior to college graduation, that plan came together unusually well.  I could continue on the saga of promoting new technology exactly as hoped.  There is much to learn & teach in the world of plug-in vehicles still.

4-20-2023

Washington DC to Vermont.  An owner of a Solterra shared their travel experience today.  That round-trip covered 1,220 miles in temperatures between 50°F and 80°F.  It was mapped using the ABRP (A Better Route Planner) app, which reads ODB-II data while you drive for highest accuracy.  The profile for bZ4X/Solterra was just added.  So, seeing a real-world report from it already was really nice.  I got a kick out of how the report mentioned the longer charging stops were nice, since they broke up the long drive.  Obviously, those who don't enjoy the journey and only focus on the destination will say otherwise.  Anywho, the highest charging-speed observed was 68 kW and it slowed to 15-20 kW as it got close to the 80% target.  That's why those who BEV travel more recommend not going any higher than 60%.  I was grateful for the report and shared that by posting:  Thanks for the report!  That detail is really appreciated.  My wife and I just got done with a trip where we had to take the PHEV.  When DC fast-chargers simply aren't available, it's nice having that option.  I do look forward to the funding from NEVI changing that.  There are DC stations planned along our route.  Our destination (Northern Minnesota) is planning for them too.  Seeing 3.1 mi/kWh routinely will be nice.  I actually got a taste above of that last week when spring warmth made a brief appearance, but snow returned to kill that dream.

4-20-2023

Good Range?  Waiting for hypocrites to post is the game now.  They claimed bZ4X was DOA (Dead On Arrival) delivering a range of only 222 miles.  Price made no difference.  That distance was too short, period.  It made no sense, seeing how well Leaf was received over the years with less.  Knowing VW was preparing to take advantage of the new tax-credits that started 2 days ago by focusing heavily on a 62 kWh version of ID.4 to take advantage of the low-price opportunity, it was only a matter of time... which came today.  The first article sighting the price savings was published.  I eagerly jumped on, hoping to see comments revealing a moving of goal-posts.  Those same enthusiasts attacking Toyota would simply pretend that never happened and embrace VW, despite an undeniable contradiction.  No surprise, the comment section was empty for that enthusiast website.  On a Facebook group with general audience participation, they are far more receptive.  There, I asked:  What does "good range" represent? From ID.4 built in Tennessee, you can get a 209-mile model with the $7,500 tax-credit dropping the starting price to $32,790?

4-20-2023

Long Distance Driving.  That new owner complaint ended with: "I explained that this car is not for long distant driving as it takes forever to bring it to 80% let alone 100%.  I would not have bought this car if I had known this."  It was clear he had already made up his mind and was lost about what the next step should be.  Did he want compensation somehow, like what Ford had to do when the C-Max rating problem was confirmed?  Did he simply want to sell back his vehicle, but was at a loss about what to purchase instead?  Did he want a fix, but had no idea what that should actually be?  Or was he really just angry at himself for not having paid attention during his lengthy wait for delivery?  I remember seeing the "hour for 80%" mention countless times over the year duration from reveal to delivery.  Heck, even that big controversy that exploded this time last year brought that up, confirming it by showing us it took 62 minutes.  How could that be a surprise to anyone at this point?  I ended this unproductive exchange asking:  Since Toyota clearly stated charging to 80% would take an hour for the AWD model and that speed would be slower in sub-freezing temperatures, what missing information did you discover after purchase?

4-20-2023

Class Action Suit.  This is the response I got to my complaint reply: "maybe an attorney file a class action suit."  That was a complete waste of time.  He is clearly upset, but cannot convey anything useful.  That's an all-too-familiar disenchantment post.  The new owner will fail to solidify any type of next step.  They basically just want to vent, hoping to stir sentiment from others in the same situation.  That often results in anger when they discover it was an oversight on their part.  He likely felt ever aspect of BEV ownership should have been spelled out in full prior to purchase... unaware that similar surprises happen in the world of combustion engines too.  I was more than happy to point that out too:  Just like when EPA ratings finally got a close look, we got the same statement.  Without a specific failed expectation sighted, the only outcome would be a revision to the system of measure itself... which did indeed happen.  Being upset for falling short is legitimate.  But when you know a remedy is forthcoming, there must be care to avoid moving the goal posts... otherwise, you end up losing credibility.  Simply saying "battery charging issues" is an extremely weak case.  Think about it.  From an engineering perspective, there is nothing at fault.  We would all like "faster" charge speed, but without specifying what "faster" actually represents and under what circumstances, the deliverable is unknown.  What would the suit request?

4-19-2023

Vague Complaints.  There are always poorly informed customers.  Enthusiasts found it strange how Toyota pointed out a significant slowdown of charging speed when temperature is below freezing and the possible inability to charge when the battery is below -4°F.  That information was interpreted as a shortcoming, something Toyota had failed to address.  It was not.  Anyone recognizing the limitations of lithium-based batteries will understand that applies to all of them.  When it is cold, you have to wait for the battery-heater to warm the cells prior to charging for better results.  The reason Toyota emphasized that was to avoid this very issue... people complaining because they didn't know.  Not everyone pays attention though: "Regarding the battery issues I HIGHLY recommend everyone to contact the headquarters of Toyota and file a complaint.  I called yesterday and they said they will get back to me in 30 days concerning the battery charging issues.  The more people that do this then they will have to do something about it."  Like how vague that was?  What exactly issues were there?  What does "something" represent?  It's all so vague, ensuring the complaint is addressed properly is impossible.  Being a software engineer, I face that problem with vague complaints routinely.  They user has no idea what they really want, they just insist upon an improvement of some sort.

4-19-2023

They're Irrelevant.  There is a growing desperation.  That next-gen Prius Prime clearly scares purist.  I suspect posts like this will become common from them: "It is all about BEV volumes.  PHEVs are already almost irrelevant.  Toyota will be lucky if they can sell as many ICEs in 2026 as they plan BEVs."  Their narrative requires BEV to be the only plug-in choice.  Fear of another plug offering, one with a gas-engine providing a range-anxiety solution, is quite real.  In their fantasy world, legacy automakers will rollout BEV and somehow be able to drop ICE sales entirely.  Nothing to bridge... you know... a stop-gap solution... is necessary.  Ugh.  It boggles the mind that there is a shared belief that instead of 2025 bringing a tipping-point, that production will be a cliff where production of anything other than BEV will be completely unnecessary.  Imagine being able to waive a wand like that, suddenly transforming the entire market.  I thought it was absurd when that was claimed for 2030.  Accelerating the narrative to 2026 is farcical.  How would that even be possible?  I asked:  ICE aren't magically going away for GM, Ford, Stellantis, etc. by 2026.  Having something with a plug covering daily drives for those where BEV isn't realistic yet is quite reasonable.  Claiming irrelevant is out of touch with how many market challenges are still faced for this transition.  It will take longer than hoped.  Toyota is prepared for that. How will others cope with the change?

 

back to home page       go to top